Week 9 closes off with what looks on paper to be another underwhelming prime time game. The schedulers at NFL HQ have hosted a few awful games recently, with the 49ers Raiders blowout just a few days after the Patriots and Texans swept aside the Bills and Fins in their respective games. We expect this game to be much closer however, as both teams with identical 3-4 records are coming off a bye week and looking to improve their records to 0.500.
Don’t expect to witness great football being played at the AT&T stadium tonight, Dallas offence is ranked a lowly 29th and Tennessee even worse at 31st. To confirm that theory the Titans are averaging just 15 points a game and less than 300 total yards offence as Marcus Mariotta struggles to find receivers and has a rushing game ranked 27th in the league. Mariotta’s touchdown to interception ratio does not inspire confidence at 3:5 and explains why the Titans are on a 3 game losing streak.
The Cowboys have struggled immensely on the road this year but have won all 3 games at home so far – and we expect that trend to continue against a Titans team struggling for confidence, yards and most importantly points. Amari Cooper is set to make his debut in front of the loyal ‘Boys fans and give Dak Prescott another target in the passing game in which Cole Beasley has been most productive. With that being said, this offence still runs through Ezekiel Elliot and the power run game that he brings to the team. The Dallas offensive line will look to dominate up front, creating running lanes for the explosive Elliot to benefit from.
All things considered, Dallas to win at home looks like a strong bet priced at 1.43 with William Hill. For more value we look to the spread of -5 which is being offered at odds of 1.91 by the same bookie. Both offences struggle to score when in the redzone and a total points of under 40 looks highly probable. Lastly looking at the touchdown market we fancy both Ezikiel Elliot and Dak Prescott (1.50 and 2.5 who is known to sneak into the end zone on short and goal yardage.