Below we take a look at our game locks and our potential game shocks in Week 10. In determining what we label a shock we consider this to be any odd with a value of over evens (2.0 in decimal format). Locks are those attributed to favorites and are normally around odds of 1.5 or sometimes even less. Whether you are looking to build an accumulator or place a big bet with confidence check out our weekly overview of the schedules Locks and Shocks.
Week 10 presents a lot of games with heavy favorites and as such we have gone for the games where we are confident with the result and feel there is decent value in the odds being offered by the bookies. Our first lock of Week 10 sees the Saints continue their march to the post season by coming through a tough test away to the Bengals who are coming off the bye week. The Bengals defence will have to contend with the firepower that Drew Brees has at his disposal and will ultimately come up short. New England travel to Tennessee looking for their seventh win in a row and we see them getting it comfortably. The Titans beat a pretty awful Cowboys on MNF, but the Patriots are a team that wins – and currently scores 30 points a game. Mariota doesn’t have the weapons to keep score with Brady, even without the talismanic Gronkowski who will be missing due to injury. Phillip Rivers leads the Chargers into Oakland on the back of 5 wins and will walk out with his 6th. The 36 year old play caller has put up some vintage performances this year and against the lowly 1-7 Raiders we can only see his season stats being inflated. Oaklands much vaulted pass rush is now but a distant memory after Grudens trade deals and Rivers should be allowed time in the pocket to hit his receivers against a Raiders defence allowing over 30 points a game. A brief mention to these three teams who we expect to win comfortably, but with odds of 1.20 or lower, we will not be including in any bets. Chiefs to put the Cardinals to the sword and in doing so elevate Patrick Mahomes status even further. The Packers to bounce back from last weeks loss and set the freeze on the Dolphins at Lambeau. The Rams to get back to winning ways at home and all but secure the NFC West against division rivals the Seahawks. Lastly we like the look of the Buccaneers to win at home against a Redskins team beset with injuries to their offensive line. Washington has a run heavy offensive style, leaning heavily on the veteran Adrian Peterson, but with a banged up front ahead of him its unlikely he will be a factor in this game. If Fitzpatrick can protect the football and avoid the synonymous turnovers then we see good value in a Bucs win.
In a game week with so many favorites it is tough to pick out any potential shocks that really stand out. Sometimes you gotta go with your gut, and for some reason we feel that the Browns have a decent chance, at home, against a Falcons team that can certainly score but also concedes a huge number of points. Yes the Falcons have won three in a row, and Matt Ryan is playing at a high level, but 2 of those wins have come against the Bucs and the Giants – hardly outstanding opponents. The Browns are not the pushover they once were and will be looking for their third win of the season. In what can be the game with most at stake this weekend, Jacksonville travel to Indianapolis and are looking to snap a 4 game losing streak. The AFC South matchup between 2 division rivals both on 3-5 has the definite season defining feeling to it. The Jags should welcome the return of Leonard Fournette to their blunt offence of late and in a game that they simply must win, they can pull off a shock and keep their glimmer of hope alive for the season. In another potential shock we look to the AFC East and another divisional matchup – although this time both teams know the season is over. The Bills look like they will be fielding their 4th quarterback of the season whilst the Jets will also have their backup Josh McGowan in the game. Jets are favorites, but the Bills are playing for pride and certainly have nothing to lose in a game which is unlikely to go down as a high scoring affair.Join William Hill now and get £30 free