Below we take a look at our game locks and our potential game shocks in Week 12. In determining what we label a shock we consider this to be any odd with a value of over evens (2.0 in decimal format). Locks are those attributed to favorites and are normally around odds of 1.5 or sometimes even less. Whether you are looking to build an accumulator or place a big bet with confidence check out our weekly overview of the schedules Locks and Shocks.
Potential banana skins are thrown up all over the Week 12 schedule, as teams with nothing to lose open up the playbook and teams knowing their season is on the line show signs of pressure. We can comfortably look to the Patriots to dispatch of AFC East rivals the Jets, simply because the Jets cannot score – a total of 26 points in their last 3 games. Coming off the bye week and knowing that they need to improve their 7-3 record to gain home field advantage the Pats will see off a poor Jets team and get back to winning ways. The Ravens will easily see off a Raiders unit that has the distinct look of a team with more than one eye on next years draft. While Oakland did win last time out, it was against an equally poor Cardinals team and their 2-8 record is reflective of the trade moves head coach Gruden made earlier this season in shipping out their best players. With a sniff of a potential wild card place at stake, Lamar Jackson will once again look to state his case for a starting position come next season. The Colts and revitalised quarterback Andrew Luck are on a 4 game winning streak and coming up against a Miami unit that is still ravaged by injuries. Both teams enter the contest at 5-5 but the Colts are heavy favorites to come out on top of the Dolphins who struggle to score when in the red zone. Ryan Tannehill returns for the Fins but with a number of offensive weapons missing and the signal caller himself likely to be rusty after missing the last 5 games Luck will navigate the Colts to victory that will push them into the playoff picture.
The Browns and the word ‘win’ have not been mentioned too often together in recent years, but we give the Browns a great chance at pulling off a shock in Cincinnati this week. The Bengals head coach Marvin Lewis will be calling defensive plays again this week and Baker Mayfield could be the benefactor of some blown coverages in the secondary should they arise. We expect a heavy dose of Nick Chubb with a sprinkle of Jarvis Landry – the perfect ingredients for a post thanksgiving big upset in Cinci. Hot off the heels of that wild prediction we follow up with another, the 3-7 Bills to beat the 3-7 Jags at home. To say the Jaguars locker room would have been deflated after the fourth quarter capitulation to the Steelers last week is an understatement. With the season over in November and Blake Bortles struggling to lay claim to the starting spot we can easily see a flat Jacksonville team getting beaten at the cold New Era field. Josh Allen returns for the Bills and with only pride to play for the Bills will hope for a repeat of their last game – a 41-10 drubbing of the Jets. Last but not least we really like the look of the Giants to add to their 2 game winning streak and kick the Eagles while they are down. Eli Manning has come alive in recent weeks, making throws to OBJ and Sterling Shepard which were sadly missing earlier this season, whilst Saquon Barkley is showing the league he is the real deal. The Eagles have been awful of late and have scored just 27 points in their last 2 games – the most recent a 48-7 loss to the Saints. This division matchup has nothing at stake in terms of the post season, but the all important bragging rights in a rivalry that goes back years.