Below you will find our expert predictions on the top NFL game week 10 matches. We look at the key fixtures on the American Football calendar and give you insight into our score predictions as well as tips and picks on featured games. Be sure to check here every week for our latest information on NFL odds and betting. As the business end of the season approaches we see some important divisional matchups that will surely have a bearing on the playoff picture come December. With teams looking to bounce back from defeats and others (Cowboys) season on the line, week 10 promises to produce some great games this Sunday. Read on to see our moneyline predictions together with some tips on the spread and total points for all of the NFL games this week.
The Saints roll into Cincinnati on the highest of highs, after last week ending the Rams unbeaten start to the season and improving their own record to 7-1. Drew Brees and co racked up an impressive 45 points and conceded 35 in a game that was end to end and offence was the order of the day. The Bengals, playing at home, will be looking to put a stop to the Saints seven game winning streak and keeping up pace with the Steelers in the AFC North. But stopping the Saints who average 35 points and 400 yards a game is not going to be easy. The Bengals defence need to somehow slow down the running duo of Kamara and Ingram, whilst at the same time allocate enough resources to stop Michael Thomas. After only just scraping past an average Tampa Bay team last week, the Bengals quarter back Any Dalton is going to miss prolific wide receiver AJ Green in the passing game. As such the Bengals best hope will be that running back Joe Mixon can compensate with a strong game which opens up the play action pass option. Even with the Bengals at home we expect the Saints to have too much on offence and overpower the Bengals. In doing so they will move onto their 8th win in a row and get their fans even more excited about their Super bowl chances. Looking at the odds on the game we like the value for a Saints spread of -5.5 at 1.91 and Alvin Kamara anytime touchdown at 1.50. While the Saints offence is putting up a lot of points, the defence has been shaky and as such we feel the game could be a high scoring affair and like over 51 total points at 1.61.
When the phrase ‘must win’ was coined, perhaps it was in anticipation of this Week 10 match up between these 2 AFC South rivals, with an identical 3-5 record. The winner of this game may have an outside chance of sneaking into the payoffs via the wildcard, however the losing team will be looking at the draft class of 2019. The Colts have won 2 in a row and are playing improved football, however it should be pointed out those 2 wins were against very poor Raiders and Bills teams. The Jags have managed a paltry 46 points in their last 4 games (all losses) but are hopefully the return of Leonard Fournette will give them a better offensive balance – and also some much needed touchdowns. Blake Bortles needs to cut out the all too frequent interceptions which are killing drives and gifting points to opponents. On the flip side Andrew Luck has silenced critics with his performances so far this year, coming back from a serious injury and playing at a high level. Tight end Ebric Ebron certainly has benefited from Lucks improved accuracy, currently on 7 touchdowns for the year. In what we expect to be an extremely cagey and tight affair we think the Jaguars can surprise the Colts (and most analysts) and come away with the win. The Jags spread of +3 at a nicely priced 1.83 looks tempting as does under 46.5 total points at 1.91. Coming off the bye week, having Fournette back and knowing that the season is on the line will just shade the game in Jacksonvilles favour. We think.
Can we see an upset in this game? The short, honest answer is no. The Chiefs are 8-1 for a reason, and that reason is their mouth watering offensive options. MVP candidate Patrick Mahomes can seemingly do no wrong and continues to play like a veteran, whilst the supporting act of Tyreek Hill, Kareem Hunt and Travis Kelce all have at least 6 touchdowns. The Chiefs are averaging over 200 yards more per game than the Cardinals – and scoring on average a whopping 23 points more. The Cardinals will score points against a Chiefs defence that allows 25 points a game, but with David Johnson struggling for any kind of rhythm rookie Josh Rosen will be required to throw the ball a lot. However much he throws, he will not be able to keep pace with the free scoring Chiefs. The Kansas City spread of -15 at 1.70 looks highly possible as does a Travis Kelce anytime touchdown.
After a bumpy start to the season, which saw the Miami Dolphins briefly lead the AFC East until they had a nose bleed, the Pats have won 6 straight, now sit at 7-2 and it can be said normality has returned. After seeing off Green Bay last week, Tom Brady and co travel to Tennessee to take on a Titans team buoyant after their win against the Cowboys on MNF. The Titans who are on a short week need a win to stay on the Texans heels in the race for the AFC South. With the Pats averaging dead on 30 points a game, we will get a chance to see how good the Titans defence really is. They currently rank 1st in the league with only 141 against in total. The reason they are 4-4? The fact they have only scored 134 points. As such the Titans offence will need to up its game if this is going to be a contest – even if they do limit New England to field goals. Away from home the Patriots are 2-2 on the season and so there is cause for optimism in the Titans camp, not least in their strong running game against a Pats run defence that is giving up over a 100 yards a game and the fact that Rob Gronkowski is set to miss the game with injury. That being said, Bill Belichick and his team normally find a way to nullify opposition strength and grind out a win. The Patriots spread of -5 at 1.73 looks generous bearing in mind the struggles the Titans have getting the ball in the end zone. On the same line of thought we expect a low scoring affair and under 50 total points at 1.70 appears to bring good value.
This game, originally scheduled for 1pm, was flexed to 4.25 by the powers that be recently. Quite why we are not sure, as the Dolphins had some of the worst prime time viewing in memory last season. After one of the worst games of the season last week, the Jets decided that they really didn’t want to win and gifted the Dolphins a pick six to seal the win and take their record to a flattering 5-4. Green Bay are coming off the back of a stinging defeat to the Patriots which leaves them precariously placed in the NFC North on a 3-4-1 record and chasing down the Bears. Aaron Rodgers, at home, against a second string quarterback (in Brock Osweiler) and an expected game day temperature below freezing will surely mean the Packers bounce back. The Dolphins have been savaged by injury thus far and it is their impressive start to the season that sees them just above .500 on the season. With Reshad Jones deciding he will play this week the Dolphins defence will be better, but can it handle an angry Rodgers at Lambeau field where the Packers havent lost yet this season. The Dolphins are 1-3 away from South Florida, but do have the most interceptions in the league so far. As such we like the look of an away team defensive touchdown priced at 7.50. A spread of +14.5 on Miami is a generous 1.50 whilst look for Rodgers to be sacked by a potent Miami pass rush of Wake and Quinn off the edge.
Jason Garrett will not have had a great week. After suffering a drubbing at home to the Titans on Monday he has faced repeated questions about his job security, whilst also planning a trip to the current Superbowl champs. The Eagles are at the other end of the spectrum, coming off a bye week and adding Golden Tate to their roster before the trade deadline. This NFC East matchup has the makings of a great game, not least because the Cowboys can ill afford a second loss in 6 days which will end their season before Thanksgiving. The teams are pretty evenly balanced on paper, with the Eagles averaging more yards and points per game whilst also being more efficient on the all important 3rd down. Dak Prescott is still plagued by bad decision making, often trying to force the ball into receivers which lead to costly turnovers. With Amari Cooper now firmly settled in and Ezikiel Elliott able to rack up big chunks of yards, the time is now for this Cowboys team. Except unfortunately it wont be. The Eagles will nudge Garrett further to the exit with a relatively comfortable home win in which Carson Wentz shows Dak Prescott how to efficiently quarterback a winning team. The Eagles spread of -7 at 1.83 looks good value considering the offensive weapons Wentz has at his disposal. Alshon Jeffrey and/or Golden Tate anytime touchdown scorers are priced at a tempting 2.50 and 2.75 respectively.
Whilst the Seahawks gave the Rams a scare last time out, we expect the Rams to bounce back from last weeks loss and beat the NFC West rivals. The Hawks showed last week against the Chargers why they wont beat the Rams – they cannot stop the run. While Melvin Gordon is a great running back, Todd Gurley is better.
Speaking of the Chargers, they are 6-2 and have won 5 games on the spin. Make it 6 – there is no way the Raiders stop Phillip Rivers charge to at least be in the MVP conversation come January. Oakland fans (if there are any left) will realise that Gruden is building for the future and looking at a high first round draft pick come April.